GreekIslandGirl wrote:Over FIVE years of screaming the same propaganda. Yawn!!!
Ignore the Brexit that's actually happened - something you never expected!
Probability 85% gives the US financial firm JP Morgan in an agreement between Greece and its creditors to the Eurogroup meeting on May 22 and possibly earlier.
The agency also notes that it considers extremely unlikely an accident that would lead to Grexit, even in the worst of the three scenarios is done, after the decision of the Eurogroup last Friday. "We maintain a constructive medium-term outlook for the purchase of Greek bonds and the reward for the risk remains attractive," notes o agency's report, according to the Athens News Agency.
Explaining the basic scenario, facing the good result, JP Morgan notes that "the Greek government and European partners (including a more amicable German position) is close to finalizing an agreement on a technical level (Staff Level Agreement), the which includes pronomothetisi measures by Greece for possible reductions in pensions and reduction of the tax allowance for the period 2019-2020 (totaling 2% of GDP), to comply with the budgetary targets in case of Fr. nd not achieve these. "
The JP Morgan pays 12% chance in a "bad result", where discussions continued until very close to the Greek debt repayment date in July. "What would happen if Germany and the IMF can not bridge their differences and / or if some MPs of SYRIZA suddenly refused to vote the necessary measures." It is difficult to delineate time this scenario, "but we think that in a situation such discussions will continue until mid-June. Our view is that eventually the Greek government will accept an offer that probably would have the form of 'take it or let it' (take it or leave it) and would avoid a bankruptcy, "says House.
In the "bad effect" on a new liquidity episode in July, the agency pays 3% chance. In this scenario, the risk Grexit reappears, as Greece is entering a new liquidity crisis as the summer of 2015. "A new center-right government will probably one avoided bankruptcy thanks to the help of Europe, but the economic impact would be grim"
As far as GIG goes. She got as good as she gives. First blood went to her. I tend to treat people the way they treat me. With no reason at all, other than pure spite and the desire to look a smart arse, she posted repeated insults, some blatantly racist and totally unrelated to the OPs, on discussions between myself and others which were in essence quite mundane. The last before my apparently so terrible response was to suggest that STUD and I were in some sort of gay relationship. So be it. Don't let it stop you sycophantically trawling for allies though (because that's what it's all about!).
As it is, from vitriol displayed in her posts I think she has in fact let her bitterness if not hatred start to consume her from within, and that is destructive, ..................
Whether (some)one likes it or not the risks will remain ...................
Once again, all eyes are on Greece. Europe's hopes and fears rest on which way the world-changing, brave Greeks will vote.So 2015 could finally be the year when austerity meets its reckoning across the continent. Or it could be the year that a democratic challenge to economic madness was strangled to death. It is a game of high stakes in which the futures of millions of people could be decided
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre ... yriza-poll
Good luck my beloved brothers. Sister Cyprus depends on you being safe and strong.
Once they are in power, they will be fully in line with the current Austerity Measures in place, and be Germany's little lap dogs, and follow all the criteria as promised by the previous administration..
GreekIslandGirl wrote:supporttheunderdog wrote: ... Brexit? A diversionary tactic...
Sure! Real life is 'diversionary' to a madman.
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