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Brexit ..... The Movie

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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Lordo » Sat Jul 02, 2016 12:33 pm

Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?

article 50 is clear. they have to exit and negotiate afterwards. there will be no negotiation before exit. it will take 2 years to negotiate the exit and could take 10 years to negotiate the new deal. when ever the remain people mentioned the difficulties of brexit they were accused of scaremongering.

who needs their trade anyway. we were assured by the assholes that we are a big power, the 5th largest economy in the world and the world was our oyster. well the ignorant public and the fascists bought it.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Tim Drayton » Sat Jul 02, 2016 12:38 pm

Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?


They can invoke Article 7 and suspend the UK's membership, but for this to happen the UK would have to break the rules.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Tim Drayton » Sat Jul 02, 2016 12:41 pm

Lordo wrote:
Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?

article 50 is clear. they have to exit and negotiate afterwards. there will be no negotiation before exit. it will take 2 years to negotiate the exit and could take 10 years to negotiate the new deal. when ever the remain people mentioned the difficulties of brexit they were accused of scaremongering.

who needs their trade anyway. we were assured by the assholes that we are a big power, the 5th largest economy in the world and the world was our oyster. well the ignorant public and the fascists bought it.


The mechanism under Article 50 appears to be that a country that wishes to leave invokes it and this triggers a negotiating period of a maximum of two years for both sides to negotiate the deal. While these negotiations are taking place, the country remains a full member. You will see that the consensus in the city is that the absolute earliest that the UK will cease to be an EU member will be 2019.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby miltiades » Sat Jul 02, 2016 12:57 pm

Tim Drayton wrote:
Lordo wrote:
Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?

article 50 is clear. they have to exit and negotiate afterwards. there will be no negotiation before exit. it will take 2 years to negotiate the exit and could take 10 years to negotiate the new deal. when ever the remain people mentioned the difficulties of brexit they were accused of scaremongering.

who needs their trade anyway. we were assured by the assholes that we are a big power, the 5th largest economy in the world and the world was our oyster. well the ignorant public and the fascists bought it.


The mechanism under Article 50 appears to be that a country that wishes to leave invokes it and this triggers a negotiating period of a maximum of two years for both sides to negotiate the deal. While these negotiations are taking place, the country remains a full member. You will see that the consensus in the city is that the absolute earliest that the UK will cease to be an EU member will be 2019.

The mechanism for " invoking" article 50 we now know that it requires first repealing of the accession act of 1972 and then a vote by the MPs. Who is to know in 2-3 months time where the economy will be!!
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Kikapu » Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:23 pm

Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?


It is very simple. The ball is in the UK court. They are the ones who wanted to get out of the EU, so the EU doesn't need to do anything other than treat the UK with contempt for even wanting to leave the EU, and to make matters worse, for the UK not having the decency and the balls to invoke article 50. That really is very kuntish of the UK. For the last 20+ years the UK has been pissing and moaning about the EU and now they are dragging their feet to get the fcuk of the EU. One of the reasons why they will not invoke article 50 is, that the EU will not negotiate with the UK in any meaningful way and that they will just let the 2 year clock run out without any agreement, just to teach the Brits a lesson. The EU will also watch the Brits sweat with the prospects of Scotland, N.Ireland and Gibraltar leaving the UK. I said last week, that I don't think there's anyone with enough balls as a PM of UK who is going to invoke article 50. Who want's to be in the history books of doing such a thing.

So to answer your question, Pyro, nothing will change other than the referendum has come and gone with no actions other than the financial market going crazy for few days, which is almost back to normal. Perhaps UK thought that they could blackmail the EU with the threat of invoking article 50 after the referendum to gain more concessions from the EU or else. The only problem is, the EU were very quick to tell the UK to get the fcuk out of the EU as fast as possible and not fcuk around by wasting time right after the referendum, to basically cutting the UK at the knees before the UK could even start their blackmailing attempt of the EU. Cameron tried it regardless this week in Brussels by saying that the UK wanted to stay in the EU single market and that the referendum was all about the legal immigrants coming to the UK from the EU (because we Brits are racists and do not want and "European Niggers" in the UK) meaning that, if the EU made the concession to the UK on immigrants, that the UK will not invoke article 50.

Well, that shiet did not work with the EU and that once again Cameron was told that once you are out, you are out and cannot come and start cherry picking all the good stuff and not accept the immigrants. Can you believe the audacity of Cameron, the lousy cok sucker. I'm sure Cameron dreamt of this blackmail idea 3 years ago, hence calling for an unnecessary referendum. He thought he was going to win no matter what the referendum results were. First he got some concessions from the EU just so that he can support the UK to remain in the EU, and should the referendum was to leave the EU, then he can come back to blackmail the EU again for more concessions just so not to invoke article 50. The only problem was again, that the EU knew what Cameron was up to and were ready to let the UK go it's merry way by telling the UK to get the fcuk out as soon as possible. Now the UK is left with it's pants full of shiet and cannot invoke article 50, because the UK never had any intentions of ever leaving the EU. They just wanted to blackmail the EU more. Well, be careful what you ask for, because you might just get it and not like it at all.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Londonrake » Sat Jul 02, 2016 3:28 pm

Kikapu:

What an appallingly filth-strew and fatuous rant, which nevertheless serves well to demonstrate the sort of mouth-foaming threats being issued by the likes of Junker at present. Although it seems Merkel has been whispering into his ear recently, as German industry has in hers. Juncker you see can strut and bellow but he couldn't care less whether I bought a Mercedes or new Deutsche machine-tools. It's not a consideration for him, there in his - testament to EU profligacy- ivory tower. .

Clearly, you have absolutely no appreciation of the dynamics involved in such a move. Succinctly - the recent referendum in the UK is a major blow to the EU, most particularly the rabid integrationalists. If you think that it'll be business as usual - a relentless march forward to greater-and-greater integration - you are living in cloud cuckoo land. Then again if it's Brussels you will be.

The whole game has changed. There's further trouble brewing in France, Italy, Austria and the Netherlands, whilst anti-EU movements also continue to grown exponentially in the southern countries. Contrary to what I imagine is your view the EU is not a much beloved entity. The frequently lauded Schengen is in abeyance (temporarily of course :lol: ) for many members, after Frau Angela's generous offer to accommodate over a million "refugees" from the ME in 2015 alone. Now hastily packaged up for equal distribution around the continent. The Mediterranean states are in - and set to stay in - the economic doldrums brought about by their membership of the €. Trapped in a burning edifice with no means of escape. Spend a couple of minutes taking a good look at what's happened to the Italian economy as an example. All is very far from well and this latest blow will be something not recovered from in a hurry, if ever. Especially if Brussels adopts your uncompromisingly rancid views.

Furthermore if you think the EU can turn it's back on the UK with a petulant huff and let the country go down economically then perhaps you should have a closer look at the figures involved. If that did happen make no mistake about it my foul-mouthed friend so will the rest of the federation, along with its unelected, arrogant cabal of bureaucrats.

It isn't up to Junker to posture and threaten about invoking A50, it's up to HMG. Go fish!

The longer it takes of course - the closer the other potential tsunamis get.

My apologies for not littering this with expletives. I do hope you can understand it without. :roll:
Last edited by Londonrake on Sat Jul 02, 2016 3:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Robin Hood » Sat Jul 02, 2016 3:33 pm

Kikapu wrote:
Pyrpolizer wrote:The big question is what's going to happen? The UK wants an agreement before she invokes article 50, the EU wants the opposite.
Nobody is willing to yield. Do you think the EU has the means legal or other to force the UK to invoke article 50?
Is there a possibility the situation would remain as it is for eternity until is forgotten?


It is very simple. The ball is in the UK court. They are the ones who wanted to get out of the EU, so the EU doesn't need to do anything other than treat the UK with contempt for even wanting to leave the EU, and to make matters worse, for the UK not having the decency and the balls to invoke article 50. That really is very kuntish of the UK. For the last 20+ years the UK has been pissing and moaning about the EU and now they are dragging their feet to get the fcuk of the EU. One of the reasons why they will not invoke article 50 is, that the EU will not negotiate with the UK in any meaningful way and that they will just let the 2 year clock run out without any agreement, just to teach the Brits a lesson. The EU will also watch the Brits sweat with the prospects of Scotland, N.Ireland and Gibraltar leaving the UK. I said last week, that I don't think there's anyone with enough balls as a PM of UK who is going to invoke article 50. Who want's to be in the history books of doing such a thing.

So to answer your question, Pyro, nothing will change other than the referendum has come and gone with no actions other than the financial market going crazy for few days, which is almost back to normal. Perhaps UK thought that they could blackmail the EU with the threat of invoking article 50 after the referendum to gain more concessions from the EU or else. The only problem is, the EU were very quick to tell the UK to get the fcuk out of the EU as fast as possible and not fcuk around by wasting time right after the referendum, to basically cutting the UK at the knees before the UK could even start their blackmailing attempt of the EU. Cameron tried it regardless this week in Brussels by saying that the UK wanted to stay in the EU single market and that the referendum was all about the legal immigrants coming to the UK from the EU (because we Brits are racists and do not want and "European Niggers" in the UK) meaning that, if the EU made the concession to the UK on immigrants, that the UK will not invoke article 50.

Well, that shiet did not work with the EU and that once again Cameron was told that once you are out, you are out and cannot come and start cherry picking all the good stuff and not accept the immigrants. Can you believe the audacity of Cameron, the lousy cok sucker. I'm sure Cameron dreamt of this blackmail idea 3 years ago, hence calling for an unnecessary referendum. He thought he was going to win no matter what the referendum results were. First he got some concessions from the EU just so that he can support the UK to remain in the EU, and should the referendum was to leave the EU, then he can come back to blackmail the EU again for more concessions just so not to invoke article 50. The only problem was again, that the EU knew what Cameron was up to and were ready to let the UK go it's merry way by telling the UK to get the fcuk out as soon as possible. Now the UK is left with it's pants full of shiet and cannot invoke article 50, because the UK never had any intentions of ever leaving the EU. They just wanted to blackmail the EU more. Well, be careful what you ask for, because you might just get it and not like it at all.


Having seen the arrogance and spitefulness of those running the EU ......... would you leap overboard on the promise that they will maybe (at some time, when it suits them) throw you a life jacket? Brits may be a lot of things but they are not stupid.

What a load of ill-informed bollox! What you overlook is that the UK will recover and emerge as a new stronger UK but, the European Federal Dream is finished and, the days are numbered for the EU Commission and their Euro. Europe will change because the UK got the ball rolling. Kick us when we are down and you will rue the day when we get up again and those that kicked us, then want our help/cooperation! :x
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Lordo » Sat Jul 02, 2016 3:55 pm

why is everybody frothing in the mouth for. if uk wishes to leave then so be it. why does eu have to be friendly to them in any way. the rules are simple. uk leaves and it takes 2 years from the momenr article 50 is declared and once that is complete the uk gets in line for a trade deal. in the meantime wto rules apply. let those who encouraged the people to vote brexit explain how if we wish to trade with the eu within the free market we have to adhere to the rules no ifs not buts. in the meantime we shall pay the tax due for when we buy and when we sell to the eu when in fact before we paid nothing for that. the tax we paid was for trading outside the eu which was applied fairly to everybody. the fact that tax will be many times more then what we used to pay for the trade we did outside the eu will have to be explained by the brexit asses to their supporters.

if the greaks in who are economically in the worst possible condition did not want to leave why would anybody else wish to do so. it is a fact that uk was always the problem child of the eu and had to be dragged to where ever the eu wished to go. i am sure they will be glad to rid of the uk. and i suspect there will be quite a few states in the eu who will block any new agreement in the future.
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby Kikapu » Sat Jul 02, 2016 4:18 pm

Londonrake wrote:Kikapu:

What an appallingly filth-strew and fatuous rant, which nevertheless serves well to demonstrate the sort of mouth-foaming threats being issued by the likes of Junker at present. Although it seems Merkel has been whispering into his ear recently, as German industry has in hers. Juncker you see can strut and bellow but he couldn't care less whether I bought a Mercedes or new Deutsche machine-tools. It's not a consideration for him, there in his - testament to EU profligacy- ivory tower. .

Clearly, you have absolutely no appreciation of the dynamics involved in such a move. Succinctly - the recent referendum in the UK is a major blow to the EU, most particularly the rabid integrationalists. If you think that it'll be business as usual - a relentless march forward to greater-and-greater integration - you are living in cloud cuckoo land. Then again if it's Brussels you will be.

The whole game has changed. There's further trouble brewing in France, Italy, Austria and the Netherlands, whilst anti-EU movements also continue to grown exponentially in the southern countries. Contrary to what I imagine is your view the EU is not a much beloved entity. The frequently lauded Schengen is in abeyance (temporarily of course :lol: ) for many members, after Frau Angela's generous offer to accommodate over a million "refugees" from the ME in 2015 alone. Now hastily packaged up for equal distribution around the continent. The Mediterranean states are in - and set to stay in - the economic doldrums brought about by their membership of the €. Trapped in a burning edifice with no means of escape. Spend a couple of minutes taking a good look at what's happened to the Italian economy as an example. All is very far from well and this latest blow will be something not recovered from in a hurry, if ever. Especially if Brussels adopts your uncompromisingly rancid views.

Furthermore if you think the EU can turn it's back on the UK with a petulant huff and let the country go down economically then perhaps you should have a closer look at the figures involved. If that did happen then, make no mistake about it my foul-mouthed friend, so will the rest of the federation, along with its unelected, arrogant cabal of bureaucrats.

It isn't up to Junker to posture and threaten about invoking A50, it's up to HMG. Go fish!

My apologies for not littering this with expletives. I do hope you can understand it without. :roll:


Sorry my friend, but I did not write any filth at all, thank you very much. Perhaps you may have read filth, buy I most certainly did not write any. :wink:

Now lets get to the beef of your post. If the UK wants to leave the EU so desperately, why don't they set the wheels in motion?

Why should the EU give any break to UK? It will ONLY increase the chances of others getting the same idea that they can also blackmail the EU to cherry pick only what they want. This reason alone is justifiable by the EU to fcuk the UK as hard as it can, and should the UK suffer economically, then the UK should bear all the responsibility for gambling with it's future by trying to blackmail the EU.

I can guarantee you, that for Germany, it is more important to keep the EU intact that selling German cars to the UK. Those in the UK will buy German cars if they want one regardless the cost. Not all Brits want to drive Japanese or Korean cars. They mostly like to drive German, French and Italian cars, so I can't see the downside for the EU. On the other hand, the UK cars are not in big demand in the EU, and if the were, most UK car companies are owned by EU countries anyway, so you see, UK needs the EU more that other way around. The EU with 500 million can take care of it self with trade agreements with other major markets around the world, like the US and Asia. UK on the other hand with population of only 50 million once N.Ireland and Scotland frees themselves from the shackles of little England, can try to throw their imaginary weight around all they want. They will not succeed. They can team up with Turkey and form their own Union of 130 million. What an economic power house they would make......not! :lol:

My the way, the million refugees the Germans took in from Syria are to become part of much needed extra workforce in Germany. Trust me, it was not a humanitarian reaching out to bring these people in. Germans are not that generous. The Germans just didn't want to bring any more Turks from Turkey to Germany, that's all.

As for free movement in the Schengen, it is great, but if the EU stops it, so be. All I need to to is shown an ID when crossing borders, that's all. What is the UK going to do outside the EU when most refugees and immigrants mostly want to go to the UK, which France will only be happy to put them on the ferries and trains and send them to the UK, for the Brits to deal with them in the land of little England by then. :wink:

I'm also British by the way, but looking in becoming Scottish if Scotland is forced to seceded from the UK. :D

In any case, all this is just academic as no British PM at 10 Downing street will have the balls to invoke article 50, even if it's a woman PM! :wink:
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Re: Brexit ..... The Movie

Postby GreekIslandGirl » Sat Jul 02, 2016 10:47 pm

In a few months, the UK will be begging to speed up invoking/completing Article 50 and being set free from obligations or it will be begging to re-unite with the EU and promising to stop this nonsense of supporting Turkey.

The UK has to grow up and realise everybody is on to their reasons for supporting Turkey and it is not on!
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